Maths · Statistics

Probability 11+ practice

Calculate probabilities from equally likely outcomes and their complements.

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The key idea

Understand the rule first

Probability is favourable outcomes divided by all equally likely outcomes. A probability lies between 0 and 1, and an event plus its complement totals 1.

Worked example

A bag has 4 red, 3 blue and 1 green counter. Find P(blue).

  1. There are 4 + 3 + 1 = 8 counters.
  2. Three favourable counters are blue.
  3. P(blue) = 3/8.
3/8
Watch for this

A common misconception

Using the number of unwanted outcomes as the denominator instead of the total number of outcomes.

Reusable method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.
  1. Question 1 of 8
    Mathscore

    A bag contains 3 red, 5 blue and 2 green counters. What is P(blue)?

    • A1/5
    • B2/5
    • C3/5
    • D1/2
    Need a hint?

    Count all counters before forming the fraction.

    Show worked answer

    Answer D: 1/2

    There are 10 counters and 5 are blue, so 5/10 = 1/2.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

  2. Question 2 of 8
    Mathscore

    A fair six-sided die is rolled. What is P(rolling more than 4)?

    • A1/3
    • B1/6
    • C1/2
    • D2/3
    Need a hint?

    The favourable results are 5 and 6.

    Show worked answer

    Answer A: 1/3

    Two of six outcomes are favourable, so 2/6 = 1/3.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

  3. Question 3 of 8
    Mathscore

    A spinner has 8 equal sectors, 3 yellow and 5 purple. What is P(not yellow)?

    • A3/8
    • B5/8
    • C5/3
    • D3/5
    Need a hint?

    Not yellow means purple.

    Show worked answer

    Answer B: 5/8

    Five of the eight equal sectors are not yellow, so the probability is 5/8.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

  4. Question 4 of 8
    Mathsexam-style

    Two fair coins are tossed. What is P(getting exactly one head)?

    • A1/4
    • B3/4
    • C1/2
    • D1
    Need a hint?

    List HH, HT, TH and TT.

    Show worked answer

    Answer C: 1/2

    HT and TH are two favourable outcomes from four, so the probability is 1/2.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

  5. Question 5 of 8
    Mathsexam-style

    One whole number is chosen at random from 1 to 12. What is P(choosing a multiple of 3)?

    • A1/4
    • B1/2
    • C2/3
    • D1/3
    Need a hint?

    Count 3, 6, 9 and 12.

    Show worked answer

    Answer D: 1/3

    Four of twelve numbers are multiples of 3, so 4/12 = 1/3.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

  6. Question 6 of 8
    Mathsexam-style

    A bag has 2 red, 3 blue and 5 yellow counters. What is P(not yellow)?

    • A1/5
    • B3/10
    • C3/5
    • D1/2
    Need a hint?

    Not yellow includes red and blue.

    Show worked answer

    Answer D: 1/2

    Five of ten counters are not yellow, so the probability is 1/2.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

  7. Question 7 of 8
    Mathsexam-style

    A spinner has 10 equal sectors and 4 are green. What is P(green)?

    • A2/5
    • B1/4
    • C3/5
    • D4/5
    Need a hint?

    Simplify 4/10.

    Show worked answer

    Answer A: 2/5

    Four favourable sectors out of ten gives 4/10 = 2/5.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

  8. Question 8 of 8
    Mathsexam-style

    A fair coin and a fair die are used. What is P(head and an even number)?

    • A1/6
    • B1/4
    • C1/3
    • D1/2
    Need a hint?

    Multiply P(head) by P(even).

    Show worked answer

    Answer B: 1/4

    P(head) = 1/2 and P(even) = 3/6 = 1/2; 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4.

    Quick method: Confirm that every possible outcome has been counted once.

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